Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.8% vs 58.1%). Sturm wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Karlsson 57.1% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 76.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 65.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 58.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Sturm
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
58.6% (597)
+3.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
57.9% (57)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
51.9% (52)
-13.2%
On power play, Sturm has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Sturm shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Sturm
Karlsson
Home
61.8% (191)
59.6% (344)
Away
56.3% (231)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Sturm
Karlsson
P1
58.0%
53.1%
P2
57.9%
62.1%
P3
60.6%
60.1%
Final 5 min
58.3%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
58.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%