Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 53.0% vs Donato 50.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 77.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 80.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.2%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Roy
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Roy
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Roy
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (449)
51.4% (175)
+2.5%
Power Play
53.3% (30)
41.9% (31)
+11.4%
On power play, Roy has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Roy is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Roy shoots right. Donato is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Roy
Donato
Home
54.9% (293)
48.6% (107)
Away
51.9% (264)
51.5% (99)
By Period
Roy
Donato
P1
55.0%
52.0%
P2
51.7%
48.8%
P3
53.7%
47.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
53.5%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |