Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Bennett 48.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 87.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 51.1%
Neutral zone
Bennett 69.4%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Roy
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Roy
Bennett
Last 10: Roy 1-9 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Roy
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
6
Roy
Bennett
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
46.4% (811)
+5.5%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
56.9% (153)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
47.8% (46)
+5.5%
On even strength, Roy has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. Bennett is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Roy
Bennett
Home
54.0% (328)
49.9% (553)
Away
50.6% (348)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Roy
Bennett
P1
53.5%
47.4%
P2
51.6%
46.8%
P3
51.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 03:18 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |