Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Couturier 53.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 57.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 62.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Roy
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Roy
Couturier
Last 6: Roy 2-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Roy
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
53.9% (792)
-2.0%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
62.9% (70)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
51.3% (234)
+2.0%
On power play, Couturier has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Roy
Couturier
Home
54.0% (328)
51.4% (541)
Away
50.6% (348)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Roy
Couturier
P1
53.5%
56.0%
P2
51.6%
52.6%
P3
51.6%
54.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |