Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Lorentz 49.5% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 50.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 64.5%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 51.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Roy
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
51.4% (74)
+0.5%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
50.0% (2)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
42.3% (26)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. Lorentz is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Roy
Lorentz
Home
54.0% (328)
52.9% (68)
Away
50.6% (348)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Roy
Lorentz
P1
53.5%
58.6%
P2
51.6%
45.0%
P3
51.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%