Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eklund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Eklund 36.0% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 60.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 88.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 83.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Roy
Eklund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Roy
Eklund
Last 6: Roy 4-2 Eklund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Eklund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Eklund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Eklund
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
30.7% (270)
+18.0%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
50.0% (22)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
15.4% (13)
+30.1%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eklund shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. Eklund is 33.6% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Home / Away
Roy
Eklund
Home
49.5% (2,221)
30.8% (169)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
32.4% (136)
By Period
Roy
Eklund
P1
50.8%
30.0%
P2
46.3%
28.3%
P3
48.1%
37.2%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
25.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Eklund
30.0%▲
28.5%
31.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | William Eklund |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | William Eklund |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |