Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Johnston 48.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 77.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 64.9%
Neutral zone
Johnston 58.4%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Roy
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Roy
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Roy
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
47.3% (666)
+4.6%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
50.7% (69)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
51.4% (35)
+1.9%
On even strength, Roy has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Roy shoots right. Johnston is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Roy
Johnston
Home
54.0% (328)
47.5% (364)
Away
50.6% (348)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Roy
Johnston
P1
53.5%
49.4%
P2
51.6%
46.9%
P3
51.6%
47.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |