Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.5% vs 42.7%). Niederreiter wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Niederreiter 47.9% vs Novak 45.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Niederreiter 50.9%
Defensive zone
Novak 59.7%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.0%
Result
Nino Niederreiter favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Niederreiter
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Niederreiter
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Niederreiter
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Niederreiter
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (32)
42.9% (198)
+4.0%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
40.9% (22)
-5.2%
On power play, Novak has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Niederreiter is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Niederreiter shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Niederreiter
Novak
Home
46.7% (30)
40.9% (110)
Away
37.5% (16)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Niederreiter
Novak
P1
50.0%
39.1%
P2
25.0%
43.9%
P3
50.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
60.0%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Niederreiter
42.0%▼
45.5%
43.5%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |