Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kindel wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.9% vs Cates 45.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 57.8%
Defensive zone
Kindel 60.6%
Neutral zone
Kindel 53.9%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Kindel
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Kindel
Cates
Last 9: Kindel 2-7 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Kindel
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
4
Kindel
Cates
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
1
2
Kindel
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (518)
45.5% (756)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
42.1% (114)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
44.7% (47)
+5.3%
On power play, Kindel has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Kindel is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Kindel shoots right. Cates is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Kindel
Cates
Home
45.0% (291)
46.2% (468)
Away
43.0% (284)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Kindel
Cates
P1
40.6%
46.0%
P2
46.1%
47.5%
P3
41.5%
42.1%
OT
92.9%
18.2%
Final 5 min
38.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
38.0%▬
37.0%
44.0%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |