Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.8% vs 43.0%). Coleman wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.3% vs Cates 43.2% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Cates 54.7%
Defensive zone
Coleman 56.9%
Neutral zone
Coleman 50.4%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Coleman
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (1,061)
44.1% (2,786)
+1.1%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
42.9% (254)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (321)
34.9% (373)
+0.9%
On power play, Cates has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Coleman is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (890).
Coleman shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Home / Away
Coleman
Cates
Home
44.4% (664)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
41.4% (759)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Coleman
Cates
P1
42.3%
44.5%
P2
44.6%
43.7%
P3
41.7%
41.2%
OT
0.0%
29.4%
Final 5 min
42.3%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
30.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%