Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings). Cates wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 43.2% vs Danault 53.2% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 28-15 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Cates 89.3%
Defensive zone
Cates 93.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 89.3%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 90.8%
90.8%
9.2%
Cates
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
28
(43 meetings)
15
28
Cates
Danault
Last 10: Cates 4-6 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
3
4
Cates
Danault
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
7
9
Cates
Danault
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
5
15
Cates
Danault
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (2,786)
53.6% (9,481)
-9.5%
Power Play
42.9% (254)
61.3% (758)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (373)
47.4% (1,710)
-12.5%
On power play, Danault has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Cates shoots left. Danault is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,902).
Home / Away
Cates
Danault
Home
43.9% (1,708)
54.2% (5,843)
Away
42.2% (1,705)
52.3% (6,106)
By Period
Cates
Danault
P1
44.5%
53.7%
P2
43.7%
53.4%
P3
41.2%
52.7%
OT
29.4%
49.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Noah Cates |