Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.5% vs Lafferty 50.0% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Cates 56.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 56.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.4%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Cates
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (756)
50.0% (46)
-4.5%
On even strength, Lafferty has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Cates is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Cates shoots left. Lafferty is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Cates
Lafferty
Home
46.2% (468)
47.8% (23)
Away
43.9% (449)
52.2% (23)
By Period
Cates
Lafferty
P1
46.0%
53.3%
P2
47.5%
55.6%
P3
42.1%
42.9%
OT
18.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.0%