Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cates wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.5% vs Laughton 55.9% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Laughton leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cates 91.3%
Defensive zone
Cates 62.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 77.3%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Cates
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Cates
Laughton
Last 10: Cates 3-7 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cates
Laughton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
4
Cates
Laughton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
2
Cates
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (756)
54.5% (488)
-9.0%
Power Play
42.1% (114)
85.7% (7)
-43.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
63.4% (142)
-18.7%
On power play, Laughton has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Cates shoots left. Laughton is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Cates
Laughton
Home
46.2% (468)
57.5% (275)
Away
43.9% (449)
56.4% (362)
By Period
Cates
Laughton
P1
46.0%
56.0%
P2
47.5%
61.8%
P3
42.1%
52.1%
OT
18.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |