Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cates wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 43.2% vs Laughton 50.4% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Laughton leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cates 71.3%
Defensive zone
Cates 79.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 73.2%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Cates
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Cates
Laughton
Last 10: Cates 3-7 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cates
Laughton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
4
Cates
Laughton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
2
Cates
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (2,786)
50.8% (5,416)
-6.7%
Power Play
42.9% (254)
53.0% (330)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (373)
46.7% (892)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Laughton has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Cates shoots left. Laughton is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,362).
Home / Away
Cates
Laughton
Home
43.9% (1,708)
51.2% (3,267)
Away
42.2% (1,705)
49.6% (3,371)
By Period
Cates
Laughton
P1
44.5%
49.3%
P2
43.7%
53.0%
P3
41.2%
49.0%
OT
29.4%
39.6%
Final 5 min
41.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |