Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs Wright 45.8% (+7.2%)
Offensive zone
Wright 64.3%
Defensive zone
Cates 74.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 54.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Cates
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
32.3% (31)
+8.1%
On even strength, Cates has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Cates shoots left. Wright is 31.8% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Cates
Wright
Home
38.2% (566)
38.5% (13)
Away
41.0% (488)
27.8% (18)
By Period
Cates
Wright
P1
40.5%
40.0%
P2
42.4%
37.5%
P3
35.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
39.5%
Wright
34.0%▼
36.5%
32.3%