Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.5% vs Nosek 48.5% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
Cates 66.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 55.8%
Neutral zone
Cates 50.4%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Cates
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (756)
52.0% (102)
-6.5%
Power Play
42.1% (114)
100.0% (2)
-57.9%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
29.0% (31)
+15.7%
On power play, Nosek has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Cates shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Cates
Nosek
Home
46.2% (468)
52.0% (50)
Away
43.9% (449)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Cates
Nosek
P1
46.0%
45.0%
P2
47.5%
42.0%
P3
42.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
44.8%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%