Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.0% vs 43.8%). Cates wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Wingels shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 43.2% vs Wingels 44.4% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Wingels 56.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 56.9%
Neutral zone
Cates 50.8%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Cates
Wingels
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (2,786)
44.2% (871)
-0.1%
Power Play
42.9% (254)
43.2% (74)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (373)
41.3% (109)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Wingels has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Cates is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Cates shoots left. Wingels is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Cates
Wingels
Home
43.9% (1,708)
44.4% (462)
Away
42.2% (1,705)
43.4% (592)
By Period
Cates
Wingels
P1
44.5%
45.1%
P2
43.7%
40.9%
P3
41.2%
46.0%
OT
29.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
43.8%