Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.5% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-12.6%)
Offensive zone
Cates 53.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 63.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 56.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Cates
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (756)
58.5% (135)
-13.0%
Power Play
42.1% (114)
80.0% (5)
-37.9%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
44.4% (18)
+0.3%
On power play, Karlsson has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Cates shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Cates
Karlsson
Home
46.2% (468)
63.7% (91)
Away
43.9% (449)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Cates
Karlsson
P1
46.0%
54.4%
P2
47.5%
66.7%
P3
42.1%
51.9%
OT
18.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%