Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Gregor wins 34.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gregor 40.4% vs Steel 50.2% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gregor 61.1%
Defensive zone
Steel 58.4%
Neutral zone
Gregor 51.9%
Result
Noah Gregor favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Gregor
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gregor
Steel
Last 5: Gregor 2-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Gregor
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Gregor
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gregor
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (202)
50.6% (2,876)
-14.0%
Power Play
28.6% (14)
62.6% (179)
-34.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
37.4% (254)
-37.4%
On penalty kill, Steel has a +37.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Gregor is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Gregor shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Gregor
Steel
Home
36.2% (116)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
35.6% (101)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Gregor
Steel
P1
36.8%
51.9%
P2
28.0%
49.5%
P3
45.5%
49.6%
OT
0.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
40.8%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
35.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Noah Gregor |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Noah Gregor |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 5, 2021 | OT | 00:30 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Sam Steel |