Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Laba on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laba 50.7% vs Hertl 54.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 95.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 78.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 85.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 83.0%
17.0%
83.0%
Laba
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Laba
Hertl
Last 9: Laba 7-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Laba
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laba
4
1
Laba
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laba
3
0
Laba
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laba
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (522)
53.9% (8,290)
-2.9%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
59.3% (1,991)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
46.3% (806)
+5.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Laba is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Laba shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Home / Away
Laba
Hertl
Home
50.4% (276)
55.8% (5,365)
Away
51.3% (304)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Laba
Hertl
P1
55.7%
53.6%
P2
46.3%
54.1%
P3
50.3%
55.3%
OT
0.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laba
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Hertl
64.0%▲
60.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Noah Laba |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Noah Laba |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | Noah Laba |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:48 | Defensive | Noah Laba |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Noah Laba |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Noah Laba |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Noah Laba |