Noah Ostlund vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Ostlund wins 28.7% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ostlund 36.5% vs Girgensons 46.8% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostlund 75.7%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 72.2%
Neutral zone
Ostlund 57.2%
Result
Noah Ostlund favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Ostlund
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ostlund
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Ostlund
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ostlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
32.2% (261)
45.1% (164)
-12.9%
Power Play
11.1% (9)
50.0% (2)
-38.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
45.2% (31)
-11.9%
On power play, Girgensons has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Ostlund is 28.7% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Ostlund shoots left. Girgensons is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Ostlund
Girgensons
Home
37.3% (142)
44.6% (92)
Away
25.2% (131)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Ostlund
Girgensons
P1
34.0%
44.2%
P2
32.6%
46.0%
P3
27.4%
45.1%
Final 5 min
23.4%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.5%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |