Scouting Report
Noah Philp holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Philp wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Philp 48.9% vs Novak 43.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 61.5%
Defensive zone
Philp 82.3%
Neutral zone
Philp 64.1%
Result
Noah Philp favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Philp
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Philp
Novak
Last 5: Philp 3-2 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Philp
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Philp
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Philp
1
0
Philp
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Philp
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (204)
41.8% (1,568)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Philp is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Philp shoots right. Novak is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
Philp
Novak
Home
52.6% (97)
45.1% (831)
Away
45.3% (128)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Philp
Novak
P1
50.8%
43.7%
P2
48.9%
42.8%
P3
45.5%
41.1%
Final 5 min
41.2%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Philp
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Noah Philp |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Noah Philp |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Noah Philp |