Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.9%). Philp wins 65.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Philp 48.9% vs Johnston 49.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Philp 50.7%
Defensive zone
Philp 53.5%
Neutral zone
Philp 50.9%
Result
Noah Philp favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Philp
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Philp
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Philp
1
0
Philp
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Philp
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (204)
49.1% (2,232)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
44.7% (237)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Philp is 65.2% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Philp shoots right. Johnston is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Philp
Johnston
Home
52.6% (97)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
45.3% (128)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Philp
Johnston
P1
50.8%
50.0%
P2
48.9%
48.1%
P3
45.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
41.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Philp
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Noah Philp |