Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Acciari 51.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 95.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 80.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 71.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Tkachuk
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Tkachuk
Acciari
Last 9: Tkachuk 7-2 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
6
0
Tkachuk
Acciari
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Tkachuk
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
53.1% (305)
+1.8%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
33.3% (18)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
49.7% (195)
+50.3%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Tkachuk shoots left. Acciari is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Acciari
Home
50.8% (128)
52.6% (291)
Away
62.9% (132)
49.3% (227)
By Period
Tkachuk
Acciari
P1
56.6%
54.0%
P2
58.9%
51.1%
P3
56.2%
48.8%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Acciari
44.0%▼
45.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | OT | 02:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 26, 2026 | OT | 00:25 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |