Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Schmaltz wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Acciari 50.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 94.1%
Neutral zone
Acciari 68.0%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Schmaltz
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Schmaltz
Acciari
Last 10: Schmaltz 7-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
5
0
Schmaltz
Acciari
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Schmaltz
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
0
Schmaltz
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (697)
52.7% (313)
-6.8%
Power Play
47.9% (117)
33.3% (18)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
49.7% (195)
-1.7%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Schmaltz shoots right. Acciari is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Acciari
Home
44.9% (434)
52.6% (291)
Away
47.7% (405)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Schmaltz
Acciari
P1
41.5%
53.7%
P2
46.7%
51.1%
P3
51.1%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
40.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |