Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Kapanen 46.8% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 95.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 68.3%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 62.5%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 79.3%
20.7%
79.3%
Acciari
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Acciari
Kapanen
Last 6: Acciari 2-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
4
Acciari
Kapanen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,304)
46.3% (572)
+6.5%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
50.9% (53)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,073)
39.5% (38)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Acciari is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,196).
Acciari shoots right. Kapanen is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Acciari
Kapanen
Home
51.9% (2,139)
46.3% (348)
Away
50.7% (2,325)
46.3% (315)
By Period
Acciari
Kapanen
P1
52.3%
41.7%
P2
51.5%
49.6%
P3
50.2%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |