Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Greig 49.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 85.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 63.1%
Neutral zone
Greig 50.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Acciari
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Acciari
Greig
Last 6: Acciari 3-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
3
1
Acciari
Greig
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Acciari
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,304)
48.7% (1,144)
+4.1%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
56.8% (74)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,073)
47.2% (178)
-0.2%
On power play, Greig has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Acciari shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Acciari
Greig
Home
51.9% (2,139)
49.9% (688)
Away
50.7% (2,325)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Acciari
Greig
P1
52.3%
46.0%
P2
51.5%
51.8%
P3
50.2%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |