Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 50.8% vs McLeod 47.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 75.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 83.7%
Neutral zone
Acciari 64.2%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Acciari
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Acciari
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (313)
49.0% (827)
+3.7%
Power Play
33.3% (18)
44.0% (91)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (195)
43.0% (272)
+6.7%
On power play, McLeod has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Acciari shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Acciari
McLeod
Home
52.6% (291)
48.5% (619)
Away
48.9% (235)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Acciari
McLeod
P1
53.7%
52.7%
P2
51.1%
43.9%
P3
48.5%
45.8%
OT
42.9%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |