Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 50.8% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 92.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 83.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Acciari
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (313)
55.7% (856)
-3.0%
Power Play
33.3% (18)
57.5% (233)
-24.2%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (195)
50.0% (144)
-0.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Acciari shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Acciari
O'Reilly
Home
52.6% (291)
55.5% (616)
Away
48.9% (235)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Acciari
O'Reilly
P1
53.7%
58.1%
P2
51.1%
54.9%
P3
48.5%
53.9%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%