Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Acciari wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.7% vs Kuraly 49.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 69.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 61.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 56.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Acciari
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Acciari
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Acciari
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (194)
50.8% (370)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (121)
44.1% (127)
+6.3%
On even strength, Acciari has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Acciari is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Acciari shoots right. Kuraly is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Acciari
Kuraly
Home
58.4% (185)
52.8% (269)
Away
50.0% (132)
44.7% (228)
By Period
Acciari
Kuraly
P1
52.8%
53.2%
P2
53.9%
45.8%
P3
58.5%
47.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
54.0%▲
51.5%
54.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |