Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 50.4%). Look for Acciari on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuraly 67.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 53.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 53.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Acciari
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Acciari
Kuraly
Last 10: Acciari 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
1
Acciari
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Acciari
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
7
4
Acciari
Kuraly
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,304)
51.6% (5,161)
+1.2%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
56.4% (101)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,073)
44.4% (1,091)
+2.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Acciari shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Acciari
Kuraly
Home
51.9% (2,139)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
50.7% (2,325)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Acciari
Kuraly
P1
52.3%
51.2%
P2
51.5%
50.0%
P3
50.2%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |