Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.5%). Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 50.8% vs Aho 50.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 92.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 88.4%
Neutral zone
Aho 62.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Acciari
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Acciari
Aho
Last 10: Acciari 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Acciari
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
6
0
Acciari
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (313)
50.5% (878)
+2.2%
Power Play
33.3% (18)
53.5% (144)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (195)
44.3% (61)
+5.4%
On power play, Aho has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Acciari shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Acciari
Aho
Home
52.6% (291)
53.8% (571)
Away
48.9% (235)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Acciari
Aho
P1
53.7%
49.0%
P2
51.1%
51.7%
P3
48.5%
50.3%
OT
42.9%
58.8%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |