Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Zegras 39.5% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 87.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 95.4%
Neutral zone
Acciari 80.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Acciari
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Acciari
Zegras
Last 10: Acciari 7-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Acciari
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
5
0
Acciari
Zegras
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
3
5
Acciari
Zegras
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,304)
39.0% (1,703)
+13.8%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
38.5% (148)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,073)
25.0% (8)
+22.0%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Acciari shoots right. Zegras is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (605).
Home / Away
Acciari
Zegras
Home
51.9% (2,139)
40.5% (908)
Away
50.7% (2,325)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Acciari
Zegras
P1
52.3%
40.0%
P2
51.5%
38.6%
P3
50.2%
38.2%
OT
50.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2025 | OT | 04:32 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |