Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Johnson 49.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 94.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 81.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.9%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Acciari
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Acciari
Johnson
Last 10: Acciari 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
10
Acciari
Johnson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
6
1
Acciari
Johnson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
0
Acciari
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,304)
49.8% (5,396)
+3.0%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
54.6% (885)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,073)
42.3% (707)
+4.7%
On power play, Johnson has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Acciari is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,196).
Acciari shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Acciari
Johnson
Home
51.9% (2,139)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
50.7% (2,325)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Acciari
Johnson
P1
52.3%
50.1%
P2
51.5%
50.6%
P3
50.2%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |