Nolan Patrick vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nolan Patrick holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Patrick 51.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 68.1%
Defensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 67.3%
Neutral zone Nugent-Hopkins 65.5%
Result Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Patrick Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 5 (8 meetings)
3
5
Patrick Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Patrick 3-5 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Patrick Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Patrick Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Patrick Nugent-Hopkins
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,978)
44.8% (8,775)
+5.8%
Power Play
57.5% (120)
50.6% (844)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
37.8% (880)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +19.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Patrick shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,653).
Home / Away
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.7% (1,106)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
52.5% (1,018)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.9%
45.1%
P2
49.1%
43.9%
P3
51.3%
45.2%
OT
40.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
43.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%
49.5%
51.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%
48.5%
44.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 2, 2019 3 04:34 Neutral Nolan Patrick
Feb 2, 2019 1 17:38 Neutral Nolan Patrick
Feb 2, 2019 1 17:33 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 14, 2018 2 11:18 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 14, 2018 2 10:56 Defensive Nolan Patrick
Dec 14, 2018 2 06:34 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 14, 2018 1 05:00 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 14, 2018 1 01:57 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins