Nolan Patrick vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 51.1%). Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Patrick wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 51.0% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 52.8%
Defensive zone
Patrick 69.3%
Neutral zone
Patrick 61.8%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Patrick
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Patrick
Stamkos
Last 10: Patrick 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Patrick
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
5
Patrick
Stamkos
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
1
Patrick
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,978)
50.5% (9,825)
+0.1%
Power Play
57.5% (120)
55.2% (1,729)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
49.6% (827)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Patrick is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Patrick shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Home / Away
Patrick
Stamkos
Home
49.7% (1,106)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
52.5% (1,018)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Patrick
Stamkos
P1
52.9%
49.2%
P2
49.1%
52.7%
P3
51.3%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 04:01 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |