Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Acciari wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 50.8% vs Kapanen 47.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 93.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 65.1%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 64.8%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 81.6%
18.4%
81.6%
Acciari
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Acciari
Kapanen
Last 5: Acciari 1-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
4
Acciari
Kapanen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (313)
46.5% (527)
+6.2%
Power Play
33.3% (18)
54.8% (42)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (195)
39.5% (38)
+10.2%
On power play, Kapanen has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Acciari is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Acciari shoots right. Kapanen is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Acciari
Kapanen
Home
52.6% (291)
47.0% (315)
Away
48.9% (235)
46.2% (292)
By Period
Acciari
Kapanen
P1
53.7%
41.6%
P2
51.1%
50.7%
P3
48.5%
47.6%
OT
42.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |