Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 45.7%). Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kapanen wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 46.8% vs Krebs 45.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Kapanen leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kapanen 60.3%
Defensive zone
Krebs 66.0%
Neutral zone
Krebs 51.7%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Kapanen
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Kapanen
Krebs
Last 10: Kapanen 7-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
4
1
Kapanen
Krebs
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kapanen
Krebs
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
2
0
Kapanen
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (572)
46.0% (2,174)
+0.3%
Power Play
50.9% (53)
52.5% (101)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
38.6% (171)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Kapanen is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Kapanen shoots right. Krebs is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (891).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Krebs
Home
46.3% (348)
45.6% (1,199)
Away
46.3% (315)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Kapanen
Krebs
P1
41.7%
45.9%
P2
49.6%
46.5%
P3
47.5%
44.7%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |