Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kapanen wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.1% vs Faksa 53.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 85.9%
Defensive zone
Faksa 65.1%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 63.3%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Kapanen
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kapanen
Faksa
Last 6: Kapanen 2-4 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
4
Kapanen
Faksa
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
2
0
Kapanen
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (527)
56.4% (289)
-9.9%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
0.0% (2)
+54.8%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
49.2% (126)
-9.7%
On power play, Kapanen has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Kapanen is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Kapanen shoots right. Faksa is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Faksa
Home
47.0% (315)
54.9% (182)
Away
46.2% (292)
53.2% (235)
By Period
Kapanen
Faksa
P1
41.6%
61.1%
P2
50.7%
51.3%
P3
47.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:01 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |