Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kapanen wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 46.8% vs Faksa 52.4% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 86.5%
Defensive zone
Faksa 62.3%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 68.2%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Kapanen
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kapanen
Faksa
Last 6: Kapanen 2-4 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
4
Kapanen
Faksa
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
2
0
Kapanen
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (572)
52.8% (6,681)
-6.5%
Power Play
50.9% (53)
57.7% (291)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
49.3% (1,372)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Kapanen is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Kapanen shoots right. Faksa is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,151).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Faksa
Home
46.3% (348)
52.9% (4,092)
Away
46.3% (315)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
Kapanen
Faksa
P1
41.7%
53.0%
P2
49.6%
52.5%
P3
47.5%
52.0%
OT
25.0%
45.3%
Final 5 min
44.1%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:01 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |