Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 48.0% vs Doan 48.3% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Doan 77.5%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 72.7%
Neutral zone
Doan 52.1%
Result
Shane Doan favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Kapanen
Doan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (495)
48.6% (451)
-0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (48)
46.3% (136)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (32)
50.0% (10)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Doan has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Kapanen is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Kapanen shoots right. Doan is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Doan
Home
47.2% (299)
48.4% (312)
Away
48.2% (276)
47.6% (286)
By Period
Kapanen
Doan
P1
42.0%
42.8%
P2
51.4%
48.3%
P3
49.2%
53.0%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.5%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
58.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%