Scouting Report
Oliver Kapanen holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 46.8% vs Wright 43.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 55.7%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 64.3%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 64.8%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Kapanen
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kapanen
Wright
Last 5: Kapanen 4-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
4
1
Kapanen
Wright
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (572)
42.7% (1,326)
+3.6%
Power Play
50.9% (53)
45.1% (133)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
33.3% (6)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Kapanen has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Kapanen is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Kapanen shoots right. Wright is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Wright
Home
46.3% (348)
44.2% (746)
Away
46.3% (315)
41.4% (719)
By Period
Kapanen
Wright
P1
41.7%
44.5%
P2
49.6%
40.5%
P3
47.5%
44.0%
OT
25.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Shane Wright |