Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Kapanen wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.1% vs Crosby 55.1% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 15-2 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Kapanen 87.3%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 81.4%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 80.1%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Kapanen
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
15
(17 meetings)
2
15
Kapanen
Crosby
Last 10: Kapanen 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
8
Kapanen
Crosby
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Kapanen
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Kapanen
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (527)
53.3% (1,025)
-6.8%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
64.7% (249)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
60.0% (15)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kapanen is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Kapanen shoots right. Crosby is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Crosby
Home
47.0% (315)
56.9% (675)
Away
46.2% (292)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Kapanen
Crosby
P1
41.6%
55.1%
P2
50.7%
53.1%
P3
47.6%
58.5%
OT
25.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
44.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | OT | 01:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |