Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 47.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 46.8% vs Connolly 47.3% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Connolly 53.3%
Defensive zone
Connolly 54.0%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 52.1%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Kapanen
Connolly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (572)
47.4% (1,307)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.9% (53)
50.2% (251)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
41.9% (186)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Kapanen is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Kapanen shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Connolly
Home
46.3% (348)
48.5% (870)
Away
46.3% (315)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Kapanen
Connolly
P1
41.7%
47.4%
P2
49.6%
47.7%
P3
47.5%
47.0%
OT
25.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
44.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%