Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Jokinen wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Crosby 53.5% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.8%
Defensive zone
Crosby 57.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 65.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Jokinen
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Jokinen
Crosby
Last 10: Jokinen 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
7
4
Jokinen
Crosby
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
5
4
Jokinen
Crosby
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
4
Jokinen
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
52.8% (17,883)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
57.3% (4,702)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
47.1% (765)
-4.2%
On even strength, Crosby has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Jokinen shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,752).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Crosby
Home
47.4% (2,345)
55.0% (11,901)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
52.0% (11,468)
By Period
Jokinen
Crosby
P1
45.6%
53.7%
P2
47.5%
53.8%
P3
45.4%
53.3%
OT
56.1%
49.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |