Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 46.3%). Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Jokinen wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Oshie 46.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 82.9%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 69.7%
Neutral zone
Oshie 51.1%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Jokinen
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Jokinen
Oshie
Last 9: Jokinen 4-5 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
2
Jokinen
Oshie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
4
2
Jokinen
Oshie
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Jokinen
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
45.2% (764)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
47.7% (1,221)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
40.2% (164)
+2.7%
On power play, Jokinen has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Jokinen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,548).
Jokinen shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Oshie
Home
47.4% (2,345)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Jokinen
Oshie
P1
45.6%
47.3%
P2
47.5%
45.2%
P3
45.4%
46.7%
OT
56.1%
40.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |