Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). Jokinen wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Plekanec 50.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 21-21 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 68.5%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 65.4%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 50.4%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Jokinen
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
21
(42 meetings)
21
21
Jokinen
Plekanec
Last 10: Jokinen 5-5 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
10
6
Jokinen
Plekanec
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
4
11
Jokinen
Plekanec
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
7
4
Jokinen
Plekanec
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
50.8% (8,558)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
51.3% (1,151)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
46.0% (1,924)
-3.1%
On even strength, Plekanec has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Jokinen shoots left. Plekanec is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,049).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Plekanec
Home
47.4% (2,345)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Jokinen
Plekanec
P1
45.6%
52.5%
P2
47.5%
48.9%
P3
45.4%
49.0%
OT
56.1%
51.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 2, 2014 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 2, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 2, 2014 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |