Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Sundqvist 43.1% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 93.2%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 56.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 75.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Foligno
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Foligno
Sundqvist
Last 5: Foligno 4-1 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
1
Foligno
Sundqvist
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
41.3% (492)
+12.1%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
56.3% (16)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
43.2% (81)
-2.6%
On even strength, Foligno has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Sundqvist is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Foligno
Sundqvist
Home
57.3% (225)
43.3% (275)
Away
47.1% (210)
40.8% (314)
By Period
Foligno
Sundqvist
P1
53.0%
43.3%
P2
51.8%
41.8%
P3
52.6%
40.1%
Final 5 min
53.3%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.4%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |