Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Sundqvist wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 47.6% vs Zacha 51.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 55.7%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 70.0%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 60.5%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Sundqvist
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sundqvist
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Sundqvist
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Sundqvist
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (301)
53.0% (700)
-6.2%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
54.1% (109)
+25.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
39.2% (74)
+4.3%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Sundqvist shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Zacha
Home
46.0% (189)
51.6% (438)
Away
47.8% (207)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Sundqvist
Zacha
P1
44.7%
57.0%
P2
47.6%
48.9%
P3
48.6%
50.5%
OT
100.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |