Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.1% vs 44.8%). Look for Sundqvist on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sundqvist wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 44.3% vs Greene 45.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greene 56.7%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 51.0%
Neutral zone
Greene 57.7%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Sundqvist
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Sundqvist
Greene
Last 6: Sundqvist 5-1 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
1
Sundqvist
Greene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
3
0
Sundqvist
Greene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
2
0
Sundqvist
Greene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (2,825)
45.0% (467)
-0.8%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
46.2% (52)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (371)
43.2% (111)
-1.7%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Sundqvist is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (944).
Sundqvist shoots right. Greene is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (164).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Greene
Home
44.1% (1,580)
48.8% (336)
Away
44.1% (1,714)
40.1% (294)
By Period
Sundqvist
Greene
P1
42.7%
47.7%
P2
45.6%
40.7%
P3
43.8%
46.0%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Greene
34.0%▼
45.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |